Despite his lack of production, Smith led the team in routes ran in Week 1. Who would have thought we would be at Week 2 and DeVonta Smith is already in the deep start tier? However, after receiving two targets in a game where the Eagles dropped 38 points, that is where he stands. If Osborn were to find the end zone, he would be able to provide WR3 production for your dynasty team. We can expect those target numbers to rise with a closer and higher-scoring matchup in Week 2. He only saw three targets on those routes, but the Vikings were ahead the entire game against the Green Bay Packers. Last Sunday, he ran only five fewer routes than Adam Theilen/Justin Jefferson. Osborn is the primary beneficiary of this new scheme. Osborn, WR, Minnesota VikingsĪ new Vikings offense has them using three wide receiver sets more than ever. Implied Team Total: Vikings (25), Eagles (27) K.J. Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5)
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For dynasty managers desperate for a running back starter, Abdullah is a decent option as an RB3 in full PPR leagues. Bolden is slated to miss Week 2, and Ameer Abdullah will be next in line for pass-catching work. Last week Brandon Bolden saw some receiving work, most notably in the red zone. To find some starts deeper on this roster, we must look to the running back room. That happens when the new alpha receiver gobbles up 17 targets in one week. Even last year’s fan favorite, Hunter Renfrow, has seen a severe dip in production. It is hard to pick players on this Vegas squad once you get past Adams and Waller. Especially in tight-end-premium leagues, Dortch is an excellent start as a TE2 with a touchdown upside. DeAndre Hopkins will be out for the first eight weeks of the season, and it looks like Rondale Moore will be missing a second straight game. He had nine targets in Week 1, which triples the amount he saw in the 2021 season. This past Sunday, he had a semi-coming-out party in Arizona’s loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. Greg Dortch is a UDFA who entered the league in 2019 when he was signed by the New York Jets. Implied Team Total: Cardinals (23) Raiders (29) Greg Dortch, TE, Arizona Cardinals By going through every game in a week, we can quickly see which teams Vegas has scored big, and that will give us a clue as to what players have the best touchdown upside for start-em/sit-em decisions.Īrizona Cardinals at Las Vegas Raiders (-5.5) In this example, a final score of 25 – 17 will match both projections. We must use math to come up with a final score that will meet both of these criteria. In this game, the favorite should win by eight points. Let us set up a scenario where a game has an over/under of 42. To figure this out, we must determine the final score Vegas is projecting. The implied team total would be the final projected score for a team based on Vegas lines.
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We will be concerned with over/under and spreads in this series to figure out implied team totals. Moneyline is just the straight-up winner and over/under is the projected combined total of both teams’ scores. The reverse would be a team as +7 underdogs will lose by a touchdown or less. A team favored by -7 will win by a touchdown or more. The spread is the margin of victory or defeat for each team. Every NFL game has three basic things to bet on: spread, Moneyline, and totals. If these terms confuse you, don’t worry here is your crash course on the sportsbook betting terminology we will use. The premise of this series is to look at weekly over/under and implied team totals to answer fringe start-em/sit-em decisions in our deeper fantasy football leagues. All lines are courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook. If you are new to the series, please check out the explanation in the following two paragraphs. If you are a returning reader, you can skip down to the games and players we picked this week. This concept, my friend, is winning WITH Vegas. What if we could work together with the house? Could we use sportsbooks’ years of knowledge and data into game lines? What if we could harness this power to help win our dynasty fantasy football league? We can use this information for our start-em/sit-em decisions. They have been doing it long enough to know all the tricks and all the ways to separate you from your money. When it comes to gambling, over the long run, the casino/house will always win out. Regular gamblers, moviegoers, and most people can recognize what this phrase means.